I was interested to see that Colchicum/(Merendera?) flowering just now in Aberdeen. We were in the Picos de Europa in early July this year, and I spotted what I first thought were crocus seed pods in the turf but they were clearly Colchicum on close inspection:

A couple of days later we saw that the first flowers were appearing amongst last year's seedpods- the turf would presumably be carpeted in flowers only slightly later on:

But all this was in the first week in July, and my initial thought is that neither day length, nor temperature differentials would entirely account for an early July flowering time in Spain, and end of August in Scotland. So maybe water is the important factor given that June and July were wet in Spain. Of course it is probably a combination. Does anyone know better?